Sports activities playing can be extremely lucrative if you Find out The particular tricks often the “smart money” bettors employ to constantly make dollars. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to Playing.

Here’s a great instance. analyzed the particular West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Va had typically the edge in the match. However , We also understood that there have been a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not guarantee on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This sport provides all the indicators of being one involving the greatest games of the year, along with both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming again from appearing down big in the next one fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the sport seem like this year?

In case this game were appearing played from a neutral field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Virginia Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This may not look like significantly, but in a close up match-up such as this, that excess point will make the variation between a push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since January 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game at home, while averaging only quitting 15. 6 points per game in home. In case anyone don’t do the figures, that means given that their last home loss they also have averaged beating their very own oppositions by way of about thirty four items per game.

In addition amazing, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by simply 13 points per video game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Many of those stats ended up established during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games in which they’ve only scored 28, 12, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still a good close match to get in touch with. Nonetheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off this particular game and definitely not wager at all. There will be better game titles this weekend with more simple rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a new TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border has not been so big they can still win right after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular activity, people critical regarding wagering saved money these people can put to better make use of on forthcoming games.



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